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Since 1957, the S&P 500 has suffered a correction in 70% of midterm election years, with an average intra-year drawdown of 18%. Here is how to position for 2026's most predictable risk.
The Supreme Court's 6-3 ruling invalidating IEEPA-based tariffs is the most significant constraint on presidential trade authority since 1974. What it means for markets, policy, and the balance of power.
The 15% Section 122 tariff took effect at 12:01 a.m. on February 24, applying to $1.2 trillion in imports. Yale estimates the average household will pay $1,300 more annually if tariffs persist.
Robinhood traded $2.5 billion in prediction markets in its first three weeks and acquired a derivatives exchange, setting up a turf war in the $44 billion industry.
Fed Governor Waller's NABE speech revealed that after annual revisions, 2025 payrolls likely fell, making it only the third time since 1945 that has happened outside a recession.
BlackRock's Larry Fink warned that 62% of Americans have less than $150,000 saved for retirement against a $2.1 million target. Gen X, the first generation without pensions, faces the sharpest cliff.
The FHFA's new housing goals for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac took effect today, cutting low-income mortgage targets from 25% to 21% and very low-income targets from 6% to 3.5%.
January existing home sales fell 8.4% to a 3.91 million annualized rate, the sharpest monthly drop in nearly four years. NAR's chief economist says the data reveals a 'new housing crisis' that lower mortgage rates alone cannot fix.
The Housing for the 21st Century Act passed the House with a near-unanimous 390-9 vote, making it the most significant federal housing investment in over a decade. The bill now heads to the Senate.
Bank of America data reveals the US economy has evolved from a K-shaped recovery to an E-shaped one, with the middle class pulling away from lower-income households while still trailing the wealthy.
OPEC+ reaffirmed its production pause citing market stability, but the IEA's demand forecast and record non-OPEC supply tell a different story about where oil prices are headed.
A new Liberty Street Economics study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York finds that foreign export prices did not decline to offset US tariffs, meaning American businesses and consumers bore the full burden.