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Kalshi prediction contracts show a 58% probability of an S&P 500 correction in 2026, and midterm election year history suggests the actual risk could be even steeper.
BOJ board member Kazuyuki Masu says further rate hikes are necessary, Japan's ex-FX chief calls the central bank 'behind the curve,' and the largest carry trade in history is at risk of unraveling. Here's what American investors need to know.
Block reports Q4 2025 earnings on February 26 with 8,700 Bitcoin on its balance sheet, merchant crypto payments live, and 94% of analysts rating it Buy. The stock trades 50% below Wall Street's $84 consensus target.
Rivian stock surged 28% after Q4 earnings, its largest single-day gain ever. With the $45,000 R2 SUV on track for first-half 2026, positive gross margins, and $4.7 billion in cash, Rivian is emerging as a credible Tesla rival.
Tesla stock has lost 50% from its peak as boycotts, protests at dealerships, and a 49% drop in European shipments create the worst brand crisis in modern automotive history.
Gold has held above $5,000 per ounce throughout February 2026, up over 25% since early 2025. Central bank buying, geopolitical risk, and inflation fears are creating a structural floor under prices.
The biggest earnings week of 2026 kicks off Monday with Nvidia, Home Depot, Lowe's, TJX, Salesforce, and Snowflake all reporting. What investors need to know about February 23-27.
UnitedHealth Group faces a DOJ criminal investigation into Medicare fraud on top of an existing civil probe. The stock has fallen 46% in 12 months as America's largest health insurer confronts its deepest crisis.
Transocean agreed to acquire Valaris in a $5.8B all-stock deal, creating a 73-rig fleet with a $10 billion backlog. The offshore drilling renaissance has its champion.
Alphabet released Gemini 3.1 Pro with a 77.1% ARC-AGI-2 score, more than doubling its predecessor. With $185 billion in planned capex, Google's AI bet is accelerating.
Akamai beat Q4 estimates on every metric but plunged 9% after revealing $1.1 billion in 2026 capex for its AI Inference Cloud. The cost of reinvention is higher than anyone expected.
Coinbase's Q4 2025 results reveal the paradox of crypto's largest exchange: revenue hit $1.78 billion, trading volume doubled, but a $667 million net loss and an EPS miss raise hard questions.