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Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick predicts 5%+ GDP growth in 2026 while the CBO forecasts just 2.2%. The growing disconnect between the administration's economic optimism and independent projections has enormous implications.
The Partnership for Public Service estimates that DOGE's federal workforce cuts have cost $135 billion in paid leave, re-hiring, and lost productivity, while the IRS could lose $323 billion in revenue over a decade.
Two FOMC members voted to cut rates at the January meeting while futures markets price nearly zero cuts for 2026, exposing the deepest internal division at the Fed in years.
The MSCI Emerging Markets index gained nearly 9% in January 2026, its best start to a year since 2012. Korea surged 28%, Colombia gained 27%, and the rotation out of U.S. mega-caps is accelerating into international markets.
The University of Michigan's year-ahead inflation expectations fell to 3.5% in February from 4% in January, the largest monthly decline in over a year. Combined with January CPI at 2.4%, the data strengthens the case for Fed rate cuts.
Average 401(k) balances reached a record $144,400 in late 2025, and total savings rates hit an all-time high of 14.3%. But the gap between older and younger workers is widening, and half of working Americans have no retirement savings at all.
The private credit market has ballooned to $3.4 trillion with projections to reach $4.9 trillion by 2029. Jamie Dimon and Jeffrey Gundlach have issued stark warnings about systemic risk as banks fund the boom with $1.14 trillion in loans.
GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen is planning a transformational consumer acquisition that could value GameStop at $100 billion. The company has moved its entire 4,710 BTC stash to Coinbase Prime, signaling it may sell at a $183 million loss to fund the deal.
The two-year Treasury yield fell to 3.40% on February 13, 2026, its lowest level since late 2022, as traders price in at least three rate cuts after January CPI cooled to 2.4%.
Silver surged 2.5% to above $77 per ounce on February 13, 2026, after cooling CPI data weakened the dollar. Analysts target $100-$125 as the metal enters its fourth consecutive year of supply deficit.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.06% after January CPI cooled to 2.4%, triggering a sharp rally in REITs and rate-sensitive assets as traders revive June rate cut bets.
Global central bank gold reserves have crossed $4 trillion for the first time in history, exceeding U.S. Treasury reserve assets. With 95% planning to increase holdings, gold at $5,066 per ounce may be just the beginning.