Wall Street's Consensus Forecast Calls for the S&P 500 to Return 12% in 2026, Crushing the 30-Year Average, but the Strategists Making Those Predictions Have Missed by an Average of 14 Percentage Points Over the Past Two Years
The median Wall Street forecast calls for the S&P 500 to hit 7,650 by year-end 2026, implying a 12% return. But strategists missed by 25% in 2024 and 5% in 2025.