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107 articles found for "debt"
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.2 in February, but the Expectations Index has remained below the critical 80 threshold for 13 consecutive months, a historically reliable recession signal.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% while short-term rates climbed, creating a rare yield curve twist that has preceded every recession in modern history. Here is what the bond market is telling equity investors.
Core PCE inflation reaccelerated to 3.1% in January while GDP slowed to 1.4% in Q4. The Federal Reserve faces its most difficult policy environment since the 1970s, and the rate cut playbook for 2026 has been torn up.
Buyback authorizations surged to $233.3 billion in February, the largest February on record, led by Salesforce's $50 billion, Walmart's $30 billion, and Verizon's $25 billion as corporate executives signal that stocks are cheap.
One year after DOGE began slashing federal payrolls, 300,000 government jobs have been eliminated, AI is displacing professional workers, and economists warn a white-collar recession is taking shape.
Ecuador hiked tariffs on Colombian imports from 30% to 50% starting March 1, raised oil pipeline fees 900%, and turned a trade dispute into Latin America's most volatile economic confrontation.
The IMF's 2026 Article IV report projects 2.6% GDP growth but warns tariffs, Medicaid cuts, and food assistance reductions will materially reduce disposable incomes for the bottom third of Americans.
The Defense Department revealed it will spend the entire $152 billion reconciliation allocation in fiscal 2026, up from the original $113 billion plan, funding missile defense, autonomous weapons, and naval expansion.
Trump called for new personal and corporate tax cuts through a second reconciliation bill during his SOTU, but Republicans' 218-214 House majority makes passage a razor-thin legislative challenge.
DOGE reduced the federal workforce by 9% in less than 10 months, the largest peacetime cut since WWII. Yet federal spending rose $376 billion. The disconnect reveals why America's deficit problem defies political intervention.
The Federal Reserve is split between doves who want rate cuts and hawks worried about tariff inflation. The paralysis could keep rates at 3.5-3.75% for the rest of 2026.
Japan's government bond yields have surged to their highest level since 1995 as the Bank of Japan signals more rate hikes, and the impact is already rippling through U.S. Treasury markets.