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Beijing has deployed $51 billion in consumer subsidies and investment spending for 2026 as the longest Lunar New Year holiday in Chinese history tests whether stimulus can reignite domestic demand.
The Q4 2025 GDP advance estimate and December PCE inflation data both release on February 20. Economists expect GDP near 3% and PCE to show continued cooling, a combination that could accelerate rate cut expectations.
A White House crypto meeting led by Trump adviser Patrick Witt set a late-February deadline for Congress to resolve whether stablecoins can offer yield, a decision with implications for a $200 billion market.
China's January CPI rose just 0.2% versus 0.4% forecasts while producer prices contracted for a 40th straight month, signaling the world's second-largest economy remains trapped in a deflationary spiral.
Two FOMC members voted to cut rates at the January meeting while futures markets price nearly zero cuts for 2026, exposing the deepest internal division at the Fed in years.
Bank of America data reveals the K-shaped economy has evolved into an E-shape as the middle class splits apart, with paycheck-to-paycheck living doubling among households earning $100,000 to $150,000.
The University of Michigan's year-ahead inflation expectations fell to 3.5% in February from 4% in January, the largest monthly decline in over a year. Combined with January CPI at 2.4%, the data strengthens the case for Fed rate cuts.
The CBO now projects Social Security's retirement trust fund will be depleted by 2032, accelerated by the One Big Beautiful Bill's tax cuts. Without congressional action, all beneficiaries face a 24% across-the-board benefit cut.
Heineken announced plans to eliminate up to 6,000 positions, nearly 7% of its workforce, as beer volumes declined 2.4% in 2025. Half the cuts will come through AI and digitization of corporate functions.
More than 30,000 tech workers have been laid off in 2026 with AI cited as the reason, but Forrester's research shows most companies don't have mature AI ready to replace them. Over half of these cuts will be quietly reversed as the 'AI-washing' reckoning begins.
The two-year Treasury yield fell to 3.40% on February 13, 2026, its lowest level since late 2022, as traders price in at least three rate cuts after January CPI cooled to 2.4%.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.06% after January CPI cooled to 2.4%, triggering a sharp rally in REITs and rate-sensitive assets as traders revive June rate cut bets.